Ghana vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
GHA
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 0
GHA
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 3
GHA
64%
22%
13%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GHA
4 - 1
ZAM
54%
25%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MLI
1 - 0
SDN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 0
BFA
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 1
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 2
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |