CAF Qualifying 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Ghana vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
GHA
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GHA
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GHA
7 - 0
LSO
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
GHA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
0 - 2
MLI
58%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
1 - 1
NGA
21%
30%
49%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 1
MWI
32%
24%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TAN
0 - 0
MWI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |