Ghana vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GHA
0 - 0
CIV
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GHA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GHA
3 - 1
STP
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
2 - 1
GHA
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CIV
3 - 1
ETH
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |