Ghana vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 1
BEN
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BFA
1 - 0
GHA
29%
26%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CMR
2 - 0
GHA
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
COD
1 - 2
GHA
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
GHA
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
SYC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 2
ETH
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ETH
3 - 3
ALG
16%
24%
60%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
7 - 1
ETH
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
ETH
1 - 2
ANG
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |