Ghana vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
GHA
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 1
GHA
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |