Georgia vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SUI
4 - 1
GEO
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
TUR
3 - 0
GEO
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
UKR
2 - 1
GEO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
GEO
4 - 1
RSA
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ROU
1 - 1
GEO
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
MDA
90%
8%
3%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MDA
0 - 2
CZE
12%
23%
65%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AUT
2 - 0
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
MDA
0 - 2
HUN
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |