Georgia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
CYP
3 - 1
GEO
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ROU
3 - 0
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RUS
3 - 1
GEO
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
GEO
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
GEO
3 - 0
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
KAZ
5 - 4
ARM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
20%
25%
56%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |