Georgia vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
84.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GEO
2 - 0
MLT
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GEO
0 - 4
POL
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 3
GEO
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SCO
1 - 0
GEO
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GEO
1 - 2
IRL
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
AUS
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
GER
44%
23%
32%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
GIB
98%
2%
0%
|
95 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
IRL
84%
12%
5%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 0
GER
10%
16%
73%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |