Georgia vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
IRL
2 - 0
GEO
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
GEO
1 - 0
RUS
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
GEO
0 - 0
SUI
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
GEO
1 - 2
IRL
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
GEO
2 - 2
MDA
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
MKD
3 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SUI
3 - 2
ALB
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
IRL
2 - 1
ALB
79%
16%
6%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 0
IRL
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |