Georgia vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
GEO
0 - 2
GER
18%
25%
58%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
ALB
0 - 1
GEO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
GEO
5 - 0
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
BGR
2 - 0
GEO
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
GEO
0 - 1
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
GER
2 - 1
ALB
94%
5%
1%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
ALB
0 - 1
GEO
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ALB
1 - 2
GER
12%
23%
66%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
WAL
2 - 0
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |