Wales vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1954 |
WAL
1 - 2
NIR
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1953 |
SCO
3 - 3
WAL
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1953 |
YUG
5 - 2
WAL
80%
11%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
ENG
46%
20%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |