Wales vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1951 |
WAL
2 - 1
POR
52%
20%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
NIR
1 - 2
WAL
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
41%
22%
37%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
WAL
0 - 0
NIR
66%
16%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
40%
21%
39%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SUI
4 - 2
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SUI
7 - 5
NED
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |