Wales vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
SCO
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
WAL
1 - 1
ENG
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1969 |
ITA
4 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
WAL
1 - 3
DDR
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ROU
3 - 0
FIN
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 2
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
ROU
2 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
ENG
1 - 0
ROU
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1970 |
ROU
0 - 0
YUG
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |