Wales vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SMR
1 - 2
WAL
8%
17%
74%
|
87 | 40 | 47 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CYP
3 - 1
WAL
35%
27%
39%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SVK
2 - 5
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 2
GER
14%
22%
65%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 1
WAL
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
1 - 1
CYP
71%
20%
9%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 0
GER
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 0
IRL
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SVK
2 - 2
IRL
30%
28%
42%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 4
IRL
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |