Wales vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
MLT
0 - 2
WAL
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1979 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
WAL
3 - 0
SCO
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
WAL
0 - 2
BRD
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1979 |
IRL
0 - 0
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
GER
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
BRD
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
IRL
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
IRL
2 - 0
DEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |