Wales vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
ENG
1 - 1
WAL
87%
10%
3%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 0
NIR
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1972 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
POL
4 - 0
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
POL
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |