Wales vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 1
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1982 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1982 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
72%
19%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 94 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
HUN
4 - 1
NOR
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |