Wales vs Montenegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUS
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
38%
29%
34%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
IRL
3 - 0
WAL
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 2
MNE
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 1
BGR
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 0
UZB
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MNE
2 - 0
AZE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 0
MNE
95%
4%
1%
|
74 | 97 | 23 | +1 |