Wales vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
WAL
0 - 1
GEO
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GER
1 - 1
WAL
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
WAL
0 - 3
BGR
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
GEO
5 - 0
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
MDA
0 - 3
BGR
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
MDA
0 - 3
GER
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 1
MDA
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |