Wales vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 3
ENG
23%
28%
50%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
WAL
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
88%
10%
3%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
LBY
1 - 0
MLT
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
DDR
9 - 0
MLT
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
2 - 1
MLT
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
AUT
9 - 0
MLT
90%
7%
3%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |