Wales vs North Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 3
SRB
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
IRL
25%
27%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 2
CRO
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 2
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 2
SCO
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 0
BGR
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
MKD
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 0
MKD
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |