Wales vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
GER
4 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
GER
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
POL
0 - 0
WAL
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
LUX
1 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
35 | 87 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
LUX
0 - 2
BEL
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WAL
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
13%
19%
69%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |