Wales vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
WAL
2 - 0
HUN
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
AUT
2 - 1
WAL
73%
16%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
43%
24%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1974 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
LUX
2 - 4
HUN
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
LUX
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
LUX
0 - 2
CAN
39%
21%
40%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUI
1 - 0
LUX
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
LUX
0 - 1
SUI
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |