Wales vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUN
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
TUR
0 - 1
WAL
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ISL
1 - 1
CSK
11%
21%
67%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
ISL
2 - 0
TUR
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ISL
3 - 0
NGA
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1981 |
CSK
6 - 1
ISL
98%
2%
0%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |