Wales vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
RUS
0 - 3
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 1
SVK
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWE
3 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
WAL
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 1
GER
4%
11%
85%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 2
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NIR
3 - 0
BLR
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |