Wales vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1949 |
WAL
5 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1949 |
SUI
4 - 0
WAL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
WAL
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
9 - 2
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
NIR
2 - 8
SCO
36%
22%
41%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1949 |
NIR
0 - 2
WAL
45%
20%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1948 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
NIR
2 - 6
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |