Wales vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1967 |
AUT
0 - 1
ENG
27%
23%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 3
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
0 - 0
CSK
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |