Wales vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
52%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1949 |
SUI
4 - 0
WAL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
WAL
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1949 |
NIR
0 - 2
WAL
45%
20%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1948 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
ENG
0 - 2
IRL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
21%
50%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 4
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ENG
1 - 3
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |