Wales vs England analysis


62	ELO	76
-1.8%	Tilt	0%
159º	General ELO ranking	21º
1º	Country ELO ranking	1º
ELO win probability

27.1%

Wales

24.7%

Draw

48.2%

England

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

27.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

6.3%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.7%

48.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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