Wales vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
0 - 0
WAL
89%
7%
4%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
MEX
1 - 1
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
1 - 1
WAL
94%
4%
2%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
WAL
2 - 0
ISR
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
4 - 0
MEX
92%
5%
3%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
1 - 1
WAL
94%
4%
2%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
SCO
1 - 1
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
HUN
2 - 0
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |