Wales vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NED
1 - 0
WAL
67%
21%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
0 - 1
WAL
75%
18%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 3
WAL
11%
23%
66%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
4 - 1
WAL
61%
25%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
WAL
1 - 2
YUG
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 0
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 1
BGR
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 3
COL
35%
25%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
FIN
3 - 0
TUN
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |