Wales vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1971 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
87%
10%
4%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1971 |
WAL
0 - 0
SCO
27%
24%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
WAL
1 - 3
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 4
ROU
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
DEN
0 - 0
FIN
76%
13%
10%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
31%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 4
CSK
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |