WC Qual. Europe Final
Global 2-3
Wales vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 5
WAL
54%
21%
26%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 3
WAL
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
WAL
3 - 2
NIR
65%
19%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
ENG
4 - 2
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |