Wales vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 0
WAL
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CZE
2 - 1
WAL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
BGR
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 1
TTO
58%
25%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SVK
0 - 3
CZE
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SVK
6 - 1
CYP
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
SVK
3 - 0
MLT
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SVK
1 - 1
BEL
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 2
SVK
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |