Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
NOR
4 - 2
WAL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
WAL
3 - 0
ESP
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 1
WAL
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1985 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
WAL
2 - 1
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1985 |
ISL
0 - 1
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 1
WAL
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |