Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
DDR
2 - 1
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1969 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
WAL
0 - 1
ITA
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1968 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRD
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
SCO
1 - 1
BRD
46%
24%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
CYP
0 - 5
SCO
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
SCO
2 - 1
AUT
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
DEN
0 - 1
SCO
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1968 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |