Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 4
NIR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
WAL
4 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
1 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 3
NED
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SCO
3 - 4
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1965 |
ITA
3 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |