Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
67%
16%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1955 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUT
38%
22%
40%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1955 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
WAL
2 - 1
ENG
29%
21%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1955 |
NIR
2 - 3
WAL
54%
19%
27%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
AUT
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1955 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
HUN
3 - 1
SCO
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |