Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
INE
1 - 2
WAL
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1910 |
WAL
4 - 1
INE
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
IDI
2 - 3
WAL
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
SCO
2 - 0
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
INE
1 - 0
SCO
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
SCO
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
SCO
5 - 0
IDI
75%
15%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |