Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
54%
21%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1908 |
WAL
1 - 7
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
WAL
6%
17%
77%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1907 |
WAL
1 - 0
SCO
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
6%
17%
77%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
SCO
3 - 0
INE
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |