Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1903 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1902 |
SCO
5 - 1
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 0
ENG
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 3
IDI
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1902 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1902 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1902 |
SCO
5 - 1
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
1 - 5
SCO
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |