Wales vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 1
CSK
37%
30%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
4 - 0
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUN
26%
29%
45%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
FIN
1 - 1
WAL
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 3
WAL
21%
28%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1987 |
ROU
1 - 2
DEN
53%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
51%
27%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
DEN
8 - 0
ROU
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
DEN
1 - 1
CSK
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
GRC
0 - 5
DEN
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |