Wales vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
SCO
4 - 1
WAL
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
WAL
2 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
WAL
0 - 0
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 1
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1965 |
ITA
4 - 1
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 1
GRC
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 3
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1965 |
ISL
1 - 3
DEN
31%
20%
49%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SUN
6 - 0
DEN
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |