Wales vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 0
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AZE
0 - 2
WAL
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
54%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
SVK
1 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
BGR
0 - 1
BLR
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
1 - 0
CZE
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 1
PAR
43%
26%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 6
ENG
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |