Wales vs Belgium analysis

Wales Belgium
70 ELO 67
2.1% Tilt -3.5%
13887º General ELO ranking 13893º
55º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
58%
Wales
18.8%
Draw
23.2%
Belgium

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
Wales
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.2%
Win probability
Belgium
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Wales
Belgium
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wales
Wales
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 1949
SCO
Scotland
2 - 0
Wales
WAL
72%
16%
12%
69 82 13 0
15 Oct. 1949
WAL
Wales
1 - 4
England
ENG
28%
20%
52%
70 87 17 -1
26 May. 1949
SUI
Switzerland
4 - 0
Wales
WAL
63%
18%
19%
71 71 0 -1
22 May. 1949
BEL
Belgium
3 - 1
Wales
WAL
57%
20%
24%
72 65 7 -1
15 May. 1949
POR
Portugal
3 - 2
Wales
WAL
55%
19%
26%
72 72 0 0

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1949
NED
Netherlands
0 - 1
Belgium
BEL
75%
14%
12%
67 77 10 0
02 Oct. 1949
BEL
Belgium
3 - 0
Switzerland
SUI
56%
19%
25%
66 72 6 +1
22 May. 1949
BEL
Belgium
3 - 1
Wales
WAL
57%
20%
24%
65 72 7 +1
24 Apr. 1949
IRL
Ireland
0 - 2
Belgium
BEL
62%
17%
22%
63 70 7 +2
13 Mar. 1949
NED
Netherlands
3 - 3
Belgium
BEL
76%
13%
11%
63 76 13 0