Wales vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1991 |
POL
0 - 0
WLS
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
WLS
1 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
BEL
1 - 1
WLS
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
WLS
0 - 3
IRL
48%
30%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WLS
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
DEU
1 - 0
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
DEU
2 - 1
SUN
21%
26%
54%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
DEU
4 - 0
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
LUX
2 - 3
DEU
13%
19%
69%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 3
DEU
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |