Wales vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1908 |
WAL
1 - 7
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
WAL
6%
17%
77%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1907 |
WAL
1 - 0
SCO
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
INE
2 - 3
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |