Wales vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1906 |
SCO
0 - 2
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1905 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1905 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
25%
24%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SCO
4 - 0
IDI
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 1
IDI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |