Wales vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1904 |
WAL
2 - 2
ENG
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
IDI
2 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1903 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1903 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
IDI
2 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
SCO
0 - 2
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1903 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
0 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |