Wales vs Dutch India analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
IDI
2 - 3
WAL
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
87%
8%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1909 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dutch India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
INE
1 - 0
SCO
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
SCO
3 - 0
INE
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
INE
2 - 3
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 0
INE
7%
18%
75%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |